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MI-Sen, MI-Gov PPP for LCV (Oct. 2014)

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Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling Subject: Peters out to biggest lead yet in Michigan Senate race, Governor’s race tied Date: October 23, 2014 Public Policy Polling’s newest Michigan survey finds Gary Peters taking his biggest lead in the race to date, leaving the election night drama in the state f
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    Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling Subject: Peters out to biggest lead yet in Michigan Senate race, Governor’s race tied   Date: October 23, 2014 Public Policy Polling’s newest Michigan survey finds Gary Peters taking his biggest lead in the race to date, leaving the election night drama in the state for the Governor’s race which we find all tied up with less than two weeks to go. Key findings from the survey include: -Gary Peters now leads Terri Lynn Land by 14 points, 53/39. He has doubled the 7 point lead he held in a PPP survey of the state three weeks ago. 19% of Republicans now say they’re going to vote for Peters, an exceptional amount of crossover support these days, and beyond that he has a 47/39 advantage with independent voters. Peters has proven to be a popular candidate, with his net favorability rating now coming in at +9 with 45% of voters seeing him positively to 36% who have a negative opinion. -Terri Lynn Land has proven to be an exceptionally unpopular candidate. Just 35% of voters have a favorable opinion of her to 52% with a negative one. Her favorability with independents stands at 30/55. - One thing that hasn’t done Land any favors is her statements questioning the scientific evidence about the cause of climate change- voters say that makes them less likely to support her by nearly a 3:1 margin. Just 14% say her skepticism makes them more likely to vote for her, while 40% say it makes them less likely to vote for her, making it an issue that hurts her by a net 26 points. -W hile the Senate race doesn’t offer much drama, the Governor’s race couldn’t be any closer. Rick Snyder and Mark Schauer are now knotted at 48%. Snyder had held a small advantage on PPP’s previous three polls of the race. Both candidates are getting 82% of the vote from within their own parties, an indication that Democrats have unified around Schauer as he’s increased his name recognition in the closing stretch of the campaign. PPP interviewed 723 likely voters on October 20 th  and 21st. The margin of error for the poll is +/-3.6%. This survey was conducted on behalf of LCV Victory Fund.  October 20-21, 2014 Survey of 723 likely voters October 20-21, 2014 Survey of 723 likely voters 3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988 Michigan Survey Results Q1 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican Terri Lynn Land and Democrat Gary Peters. If the election was today, who would you vote for? 39% Terri Lynn Land ...............................................  53% Gary Peters .....................................................  8% Undecided ....................................................... Q2 The candidates for Governor are Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Mark Schauer. If the election was today, who would you vote for? 48% Rick Snyder  ....................................................  48% Mark Schauer  .................................................  4% Undecided ....................................................... Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Peters? 45% Favorable ........................................................  36% Unfavorable ....................................................  19% Not sure .......................................................... Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Terri Lynn Land? 35% Favorable ........................................................  52% Unfavorable ....................................................  13% Not sure .......................................................... Q5 Would you be more or less likely to support Terri Lynn Land if you knew that she has made statements denying the scientific evidence that humans are the primary cause of climate change, or would it not make a difference? 14% More likely .......................................................  40% Less likely .......................................................  37% Wouldn't make a difference .............................  9% Not sure .......................................................... Q6 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? 51% Barack Obama ................................................  43% Mitt Romney ....................................................  6% Someone else / Don't remember  .................... Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. 53% Woman ...........................................................  47% Man ................................................................. Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. 36% Democrat ........................................................  28% Republican ......................................................  36% Independent / Other  ........................................ Q9 If you are white, press 1. If African-American, press 2. If other, press 3. 80% White ..............................................................  11%  African-American ............................................  9% Other  ............................................................... Q10 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to 65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3. 27% 18 to 45 ...........................................................  44% 46 to 65 ...........................................................  29% Older than 65 ..................................................  October 20-21, 2014 survey of 723 likely voters October 20-21, 2014 survey of 723 likely voters 3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988 Base2012 Pres VoteBarackObamaMittRomneySomeone else /Don't remember Sen.Terri Lynn LandGary PetersUndecided 39%  9% 77% 19% 53%  85% 16% 40% 8%  6% 7% 41% Base2012 Pres VoteBarackObamaMittRomneySomeone else /Don't remember GovRick Snyder Mark Schauer Undecided 48%  20% 83% 33% 48%  77% 13% 40% 4%  3% 4% 26% Base2012 Pres VoteBarackObamaMittRomneySomeone else /Don't remember Peters FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 45%  68% 17% 42% 36%  14% 63% 31% 19%  18% 20% 27% Base2012 Pres VoteBarackObamaMittRomneySomeone else /Don't remember Land FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 35%  12% 67% 11% 52%  78% 19% 64% 13%  10% 14% 24% Base2012 Pres VoteBarackObamaMittRomneySomeone else /Don't remember Land Denies ClimateScienceMore likelyLess likelyWouldn't make adifferenceNot sure 14%  6% 26% 4% 40%  61% 17% 18% 37%  26% 48% 52% 9%  7% 9% 26% BaseGender WomanManSen.Terri Lynn LandGary PetersUndecided 39%  35% 44% 53%  54% 51% 8%  11% 5%  October 20-21, 2014 survey of 723 likely voters October 20-21, 2014 survey of 723 likely voters 3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988 BaseGender WomanManGovRick Snyder Mark Schauer Undecided 48%  44% 52% 48%  51% 44% 4%  5% 4% BaseGender WomanManPeters FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 45%  45% 45% 36%  30% 42% 19%  25% 13% BaseGender WomanManLand FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 35%  32% 38% 52%  54% 50% 13%  14% 12% BaseGender WomanManLand Denies ClimateScienceMore likelyLess likelyWouldn't make adifferenceNot sure 14%  12% 17% 40%  43% 37% 37%  35% 39% 9%  10% 8% BasePartyDemocratRepublicanIndependent/ Other Sen.Terri Lynn LandGary PetersUndecided 39%  11% 75% 39% 53%  84% 19% 47% 8%  5% 6% 14% BasePartyDemocratRepublicanIndependent/ Other GovRick Snyder Mark Schauer Undecided 48%  16% 82% 54% 48%  82% 15% 38% 4%  2% 3% 8% BasePartyDemocratRepublicanIndependent/ Other Peters FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 45%  67% 16% 44% 36%  18% 62% 33% 19%  15% 22% 22% BasePartyDemocratRepublicanIndependent/ Other Land FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 35%  17% 66% 30% 52%  72% 22% 55% 13%  11% 12% 15%

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