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This Week at the ISN 2014-10-24

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This week, our hard power-oriented Security Watch (SW) series asks how the US should respond to rising terrorism in Tanzania; what Russia’s recent military exercises tells us about the state of its armed forces; why classic counterinsurgency (COIN) doctrine is a poor match for today’s intrastate conflicts; why Russia and the US have deployed more nuclear weapons since the implementation of the New START Treaty; and whether the use of private military and security companies (PMSCs) is a positive development or not. Then, in our second and more wide-ranging series, we consider whether the Russia-Ukraine-EU gas dispute will be resolved soon; how unmanned weapon systems should be managed on the battlefield; what options the Palestinian Authority might pursue in re-engaging with its refugee communities; what the collective response provisions of Article 44 of the Lisbon Treaty entail; and how the Islamic State has impacted the national identity of Iraq’s Kurdish community.
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  /// ISN ETH ZurichInternational Relations and Security Network www.isn.ethz.ch  /// This Week at the ISNOur Weekly Content Roundup 13– 17 October 2014JUMP TO »   Editorial Plan   |   Security Watch   |   Blog   |   Video /// Security Watch  This week, our hard power-oriented Security Watch (SW) series asks how the US should respond to rising terrorism in Tanzania; what Russia's recent military exercises tells us about the state of its armed forces; why classic counterinsurgency (COIN) doctrine is a poor match for today's intrastate conflicts; why Russia and the US have deployed more nuclear weapons since the implementation of the New START Treaty; and whether the use of private military and security companies (PMSCs) is a positive development or not. Then, in our second and more wide-ranging series, we consider whether the Russia-Ukraine-EU gas dispute will be resolved soon; how unmanned weapon systems should be managed on the battlefield; what options the Palestinian Authority might pursue in re-engaging with its refugee communities; what the collective response provisions of Article 44 of the Lisbon Treaty entail; and how the Islamic State has impacted the national identity of Iraq's Kurdish community. The Rising Terrorist Threat in Tanzania: Domestic Islamist Militancy and Regional Threats   20 October 201 How should the US respond to a growing number of Islamist attacks in Tanzania? Andres Lesage thinks Washington   should 1) pay attention to the problem, particularly at the policy level, and 2) commit the intelligence, law enforcement, and   strategic communications assets that are needed to help curb the violence. » More The Ukraine-Russia-EU Gas War   20 October 2014 Will further talks between Moscow, Kiev and Brussels finally resolve the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute? Szymon Karda ś  and   others aren't optimistic. As things currently stand, Russia remains more than capable of manipulating European gas   supplies in the months ahead. » More Russia Demonstrates Its Strength in the East   21 October 2014 What lessons should Asian nations learn from Russia's recent East 14 military exercises? According to Anna Maria   Dyner, the exercises did demonstrate the growing combat readiness of the Russian military, but they also exposed   obvious gaps in the country's forward defense capabilities. » More  Drone-tocracy? Mapping the Proliferation of Unmanned Systems   21 October 2014 Wim Zwijnenburg believes that it's time to curb the proliferation of military drones. The problem, however, is that today's   arms control agreements are not comprehensive enough to regulate the growing investment in unmanned systems. That's   why new and specific regulations are indeed necessary. » More Intervention in Intrastate War: The Military Planning Problem 22 October 2014 Should governments apply classic counterinsurgency (COIN) doctrine to intrastate conflicts, particularly since today's   efforts seem so forced and misguided? Not according to William Gregory. The doctrine concentrates too much on war and   not enough on politics. » More Bringing Back the Palestinian Refugee Question 22 October 2014 Our partners at the International Crisis Group think that it's time for the Palestinian Authority to resolve its differences with   its refugee communities. Not only are their divisions a recipe for further strife and unrest, but they also undermine the   credibility of the two-state solution. » More  Since entering into the New START Treaty three and a half years ago, both Russia and the Unites States have added to   their deployed nuclear weapons arsenals. As Hans Kristensen sees it, this behavior hardly sets the right tone for next   year's nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty conference. » More In Groups We Trust – Implementing Article 44 of the Lisbon Treaty 23 October 2014 Will Article 44 of the Lisbon Treaty permit the EU to improve its rapid response capabilities, particularly in the case of    military interventions? Thierry Tardy isn't convinced. There are still many unknowns surrounding the overall purpose,   implications and value of this yet-to-be-implemented Article. » More The Hazards of Going to War for Profit   24 October 2014 Has the growing reliance on private military and security companies (PMSCs) been a good thing? Not according to James   Pattison. Among other sins, PMSCs are ineffectively regulated, dubiously selected, potentially unreliable, and an ideal way   for policymakers to circumvent constitutional or parliamentary constraints.» More Nationalism under Pressure: Islamic State, Iraq and Kurdistan   24 October 2014 Has the Iraqi Kurds' sense of national identity been strengthened by the emergence of the so-called Islamic State? Not   necessarily, says Erlend Paasche. If anything, mounting socio-economic and political tensions inside northern Iraq have   been tearing at Kurdish nationalism for the last decade. » More /// Blog IR and the Future Wars of First-Person Military Shooters   20 October 2014 What's wrong with first-person military shooter games that pit the United States against familiar enemies? Not much, says   Johan Högland. While these games might reinforce a sense of global insecurity, they also present viable models for    managing present and future crises. » More Germany's Islamic State Problem   21 October 2014 Why should Germany put the NSA surveillance scandal to rest? According to Benjamin Weinthal, German politicians and   media outlets are starting to worry that it's overshadowing more dangerous concerns, including the homegrown radicalism   being provoked by organizations such as the Islamic State. » More We Need to Fix the Way We Talk about National Intelligence 22 October 2014 Damien Van Puylvede believes that the current debates about intelligence gathering in modern democracies arenecessary and valuable. However, they also need to be substantive, which means not blathering on about the latest ill-conceived and unauthorized disclosures provided by the media. » More New Book Suggests Rigid Norms Delay Crisis Response Times   23 October 2014 When faced with armed conflicts, why do international organizations vary so much in their response times? The answer,   according to Michael Snyder, can be found in Heidi Hardt's Time to React, a book that explores such reasons as 'rigid   norms'. » More The Bildt-Sikorski-Effect   24 October 2014 Carl Bildt and Radoslaw Sikorski are no longer the Foreign Ministers of Sweden and Poland. Daniel Fiott thinks that's bad   news for the EU. At a time when Europe is facing a crisis on its eastern flank, Brussels can ill afford to lose two of its most   experienced statesmen. » More New START: Russia and the United States Increase Deployed Nuclear Arsenals   23 October 2014  /// Video Before the First Shots Are Fired  In this video, retired US General Anthony Zinni discusses his book, Before the First Shots are Fired: How America Can Win or Lose off the Battlefield, which prescribes new strategizing and planning options for 21st century militaries. » More  Lessons Learned from Failures and Successes of the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Negotiations  In this video, Yair Hirshfeld describes his personal experiences in the most recent phase of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.» More  Dancing with a Wounded Bear: Russia and the West In this video, Barnard College's Kimberly Marten explores the reasons behind Vladimir Putin's current foreign policy and how the latter might impact the US, Europe, Canada and Ukraine.» More /// Multimedia Content  Here is a selection of this week's additions to the ISN » Digital Library: Publications » More /// The Future of US Extended Deterrence in Asia to 2025 » More /// The Indian Jihadist Movement: Evolution and Dynamics » More /// The Nightmare Years to Come? » More  Videos » More /// The New Security Reality in Europe » More /// Why States Recover: Changing Walking Societies into Winning Nations from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe » More /// India’s Role in Climate Change Realities: Perspectives from the Asia Pacific » More  Audio / Podcasts » More /// Elite Perceptions of the United States in Europe and Asia » More /// The Future of Artificial Intelligence: Robots and Beyond » More /// Closing Myanmar's Pandora Box: Resolving the Buddhist-Muslim Conflict » More  Interact with us:Contact us: International Relations and Security Network ETH Zurich Leonhardshalde 21, LEH 8092 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 44 632 07 57 / 40 25 Disclaimer: The ISN is a service of the Center for Security Studies (CSS) at the ETH Zurich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich). Read the ISN Disclaimer here. Unsubscribe: If you would like to change or cancel your  newsletter subscription profile with us, please do so here.
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