Why is Manchester United So Successful

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A paper on Manchester United sucess story.
   Why is Manchester United So Successful? Football is now a big industry worth studying in its own right: but it is also an excellent laboratory for studying success. The author argues that this is partly because, in contrast to say, American Football, there is less equalisation of resources between the clubs and English football is a highly competitive market. This article discusses one of the most successful clubs ever and argues that the reasons behind its success do not characterize football generally. It discusses how the different kinds of success in the English football industry are related to business success generally. Comments  I n 1905, when he commented that “Football is big business”, William  McGregor was probably exaggerating. But no one would challenge his claim today. In the 1990s football clubs and governing bodies have enjoyed huge increases in income from merchandising, sponsorship, television  –  and simply from higher prices at the grounds. The combined annual income of English football clubs is currently in the region of £1bn a year. By one estimate, the worldwide football business is valued at £150bn. “Football is a big business”   William McGregor, “Father”   and founder of the Football League, in “The  Book of Football”,  1905 “The subject of strategy analyses the firm’s relationships with its environment, and a business strategy is a scheme for handling these relationships”   John Kay, in “Foundations  of Corporate Success”,  1993 “Strategy is about winning”   Rob Grant, in “Contemporary   Strategy  Analysis”,  1995 Football is now so large an industry that it is worth studying as a business in its own right - like the computer industry or tourism. Yet, while books on football have been published denouncing commercialism and peddling scandalous gossip, there has to-date been no systematic analysis of the structure of the industry from a business perspective. Football is also a good laboratory for studying success in general. My first article on football dealt with this issue (dell’Osso and Szymanski 1991) and appeared in the second volume of    Business Strategy Review  , before football had become anything like as fashionable as it is today. We can learn a lot about business strategy from football  because competition in football is highly structured and the results of competition are clearly measurable. Outcomes are measurable not just in financial terms, but in terms of success on the pitch, through games won and lost, league positions achieved and trophies won. Few other industries produce such clear indicators of who are the winners and who are the losers. In the 1990s Manchester United has been the most successful English football club. Since the foundation of the Premier League in 1992 it has won four of the six titles and been runner-up on the other two occasions. It has won the FA Cup twice and been runner-up once. Only in Europe has success eluded the club - it has failed to win the European Cup/ Champions League in five attempts so far. Manchester United has also been the most successful club financially. Between 1992 and 1997 the club generated income of £249m, of which £69m was spent on its wage bill and £66m reported as profit. This performance would be a good by any standard; in the football industry, where most clubs have reported a pre-tax loss, it has been dazzling. For this reason some commentators have suggested that broadcaster BSkyB’s offer of £624m to buy the club in September 1998 can be justified on financial performance alone, rather than any particular interest in the broadcast rights. Profits, Performance and the Market What makes Manchester United’s success interesting from a business perspective is that it has managed to make money while winning. It might seem obvious that financial success and success on the pitch go together. In fact, there is no systematic relationship between the two. This is illustrated by Table 1. In our forthcoming book (Szymanski and Kuypers 1999) we have assembled a large database of financial statistics relating to football clubs over the past one hundred years by examining publicly available accounting data. Table 1 is based on the reported annual pre-tax profit of forty clubs over a twenty year period: there are 760 cases where from one year to the next we can compare the change in profit to the change in league position. If above-average league performance always led to higher profits we would find that about that half of the clubs whose league position rose would also show increased profits (the top left-hand box in table 1) while for the other half of clubs, league position would fall and profits would fall (the bottom right hand box). The other two boxes (top-right and bottom-left) would be empty. What we actually find is that club results fall into each of the four boxes in roughly equal proportions. In other words, it appears just as likely that when league performance improves, profits will fall as that they will rise, while when league performance deteriorates, it is more-or-less equally likely that profits will rise or fall. There appears to be no systematic relationship between profits and league performance. This finding is confirmed if we look at other ways of examining the data, for example comparing the change in profits in the current year with the change in league performance in the previous year. Why should this be? Profit, of course, is simply the difference between revenue and cost. If we now consider the relationship between revenues and performance on the one hand and performance and costs on the other, a much clearer picture emerges. In fact, we can state two general principles based on our research: l Better league performance leads to higher revenue l Increased wage expenditure leads to better league performance. These two fundamental relationships are illustrated in figures 1 and 2. Figure 1 shows the relationship between revenue and league position.  As club performance improves, revenues grow as a result of increased attendance, higher ticket prices, increased sponsorship, merchandising and TV income. In fact, 82% of the variation in revenue between the clubs in 1996/97 could be explained simply by league position. The same relationship can be found when we look at the performance of clubs over time: higher revenues flow from higher league positions. The second relationship is illustrated in figure 2. This shows how higher wage expenditure by clubs leads to higher league positions. Wage expenditure is measured by the total wage bill of the club, but most of this expenditure is dominated by player wages. These fundamental relationships hold because of the operation of markets: better players win more matches. There is a well-developed market for players that ensures that better-quality players can attract higher wages. As a result, higher wage expenditure improves performance. Similarly, there is a market for success. At the margin, fans and sponsors are attracted by success: so better performance attracts higher income.  The reason that these two relationships are so reliable is that, in the absence of significant redistribution of income, football is a highly competitive market. While all the clubs are dependent on each other to produce matches, at the same time they compete intensively against each other to attract supporters and to obtain the best players. Unlike rival sports such as baseball, American Football or basketball, football leagues do very little to redistribute income to create a balanced competition. As a result, bigger clubs may be valued more highly by the stock market, but successful clubs cannot in general sit back and harvest profits. Profits are always ploughed back into the team in order to preserve the competitiveness of the club. Except, of course, in the case of Manchester United. How Manchester United Bucked the Trend Manchester United has always been controversial. The club entered the Football League in 1892 and was almost bankrupted in 1902. It was saved primarily by a wealthy local brewer, J.H.Davies. He had ambitions to create a major footballing power and invested heavily, particularly in the development of the ground at Old Trafford. From its completion in 1910, this became one of the leading stadia in the country, perhaps the most important stadium in the north of England, hosting Football Association (FA) Cup semi-finals and final replays from its earliest years down to the present. Under Davies, the club became known as “moneybags United” and was officially censured by the League and the FA in 1910 for misrepresenting its financial statements. The club enjoyed League and Cup success in this era, winning the First Division Championship in 1908 and 1911 and the FA Cup in 1909. Between the wars, the club sank into relative obscurity, moving between the First and Second Divisions and failing to win any honours. During the Second World War, Old Trafford was badly damaged by German bombing raids and after the War the club faced a crisis. Apart from rebuilding a team, the club needed to rebuild its stadium. The directors gambled in appointing as manager a leading pre-war player, Matt Busby. He achieved almost immediate success by winning the FA Cup in 1948 and his team were runners up in the First Division on three occasions in the late 1940s. Success enabled the home ground at Old Trafford to be rebuilt by 1949 and finally Busby’s team won the League in 1952. Busby also made it “his” club. From the very beginning he insisted on management control, an unusual situation at a time when it was normal for the directors to select the team and decide upon transfers. Before the War, managers were generally more like trainers. A football club resembled a military unit, players taking orders without question from the manager, who in turn received orders from the directors. Busby started the long process of breaking down this antiquated approach to management, and took revolutionary steps such as consulting the team about decisions, asking their opinions generally, and insisting that it was the management - not the directors - who were best placed to make footballing decisions.  After winning the Championship, Busby had to rebuild his team with younger players. The Busby Babes, as they were known, were an outstanding collection of young talent and won the League in 1956 and 1957, a remarkable achievement for a team of players mostly in their early twenties. Manchester United was the first English club to enter the newly created European Cup. It was defeated in the semifinals at its first attempt in 1957 and then in 1958 reached the semi-finals again. It beat Red Star Belgrade over two legs, 2-1 at home and then 3-3 in Belgrade on February 5th 1958. On the return flight the next day the plane stopped to refuel at Munich. Trying to take off in a blizzard, the plane crashed, killing eight of the young squad which would probably have dominated English football for the decade. Fifteen others died in the crash, and Busby himself was severely injured and only just survived. The tragedy shocked fans and nonfans alike, not just in England but throughout the world. Without question, it changed the attitude of many towards the club and certainly made it a household name. From this time on, Manchester United became one of the best-supported clubs in the country. Busby recovered, and went on to lead the club to its greatest triumph, the Euro pean Cup victory of 1968. The squad of 1968 contained some of the club’s greatest stars: Bobby Charlton, George Best and Denis Law. By then, Manchester United had become a team of  expensive superstars. In the 1950s Busby had built great teams from a limited budget; but in the 1960s he had the luxury of being able to spend money on acquiring talent - and he did so. This latter period coincided with the abolition of the maximum wage and the relaxation of controls over player transfers, which inaugurated the era of sky-rocketing player wages.  After Busby gave up the job of manager in 1971 the club experimented with a series of managers but enjoyed little playing success over the next twenty years. This was the Liverpool era. Over this period Liverpool won 11 League titles, was runner-up six times, won the FA Cup three times and was runner-up twice, won the European Cup four times and was runner-up once and won the UEFA Cup twice. This was a sustained and unprecedented dominance of English football by one club. And yet, despite not winning a League title or European competition over the period, Manchester United remained a much better supported club than any other, including Liverpool. Table 2 compares the ranks of Liverpool and Manchester United in terms of league position and attendance at league matches. This support was critical to the long-term survival and prominence of the club. Whilst it is true that Manchester United continued to play attractive football throughout its relatively lean years, this alone cannot account for the sustained interest in the club. Manchester United resembles brands like Coca-Cola, Marlboro cigarettes or Nescafé. Although they compete in markets crowded with superficially similar products, consumers have a strong tendency to rely on their established brand image in preference to their rivals. There are any number of cola drinks or cigarette brands in the world: indeed, in a blind taste test, consumers may be unable to distinguish a cola drink from genuine Coca-Cola, or Marlboro tobacco from any other brand. But the established brand names can still sell at higher prices than rivals and continue to dominate the market. In a sense, this is what Manchester United achieved: despite a lower level of League performance than its major rivals, it was still able to attract more customers than these clubs. It is quite rational for consumers to make choices based on brand image, even if they pay higher prices for the same product. First, choosing a brand name is generally simpler than choosing from a range of similar products in a world where it is costly to acquire information. If consumers had adequate information, they might choose to buy a better-value brand of coffee each week, or choose to see a different football match. However, information processing is very costly: so it makes sense to go and see a team with an established track record. Few clubs in post-war England have had a better track record than Manchester United, even if this argument was beginning to wear a bit thin by the early 1990s. Second, choosing a brand name is often a safer decision than gambling on a less well-known alternative choice. Brand names represent a long history of product development and promotion. The owners of a strong brand have a big incentive to try to maintain that image, while owners of products without such an image have less to worry about if they let the customer down. In that sense, just as Nescafé will always be committed to maintaining the quality of its coffee, Manchester United will always be committed to attractive match-winning football: to stop doing so would be to throw away a valuable image built up over many years. To fans considering the choice of club to support over a lifetime, this is a comforting thought. Third, given that many people choose to support their local team, people who choose a non-local team are to some extent exceptional, and are clearly making a choice based on different criteria. One criterion for such a choice is likely to be history and image. Finally, given that for most supporters there is usually a fairly large number of local teams to choose from, the actual choice of club can be a fairly random decision based on experiences early in one’s youth. A decision such as this is likely to be influenced by the most popular team around at any point in time. To some extent, Manchester United is well supported because it has always been well supported. The ultimate consequence of Manchester United’s reputation was the ability to sustain itself through the lean years. By 1992 the c lub had gone 25 years without a League Championship. In a similar position, most other clubs would have suffered financially.
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